USD/CHF: Wave analysis and forecast for 07/09/2018 – 14/09/2018

The pair USD/CHF is still likely to fall. Estimated pivot point is at a level of 0.9767.

Main scenario: short positions will be relevant from corrections below the level of 0.9767 with a target of 0.9600 – 0.9550.

Alternative scenario: Breakdown and consolidation above the level of 0.9767 will allow the pair to continue the rise up to the levels of 0.9847 – 0.9863.

Analysis: Supposedly, an ascending impetus finished forming as the first wave of senior level 1 of (3) within the daily time frame. A downward correction is forming as the wave 2 of (3) on the 4-hour timeframe. On H1 time frame, presumably a downward impetus is developing as the wave c of 2, with the local correction completed in the form of the fourth wave (iv) of c and the fifth wave (v) of c forming inside. If the presumption is correct, the pair will continue to drop to the levels 0.9600 – 0.9550. The level 0.9767 is critical in this scenario.